Daily Discourse – 1.5% GST = Free Public Transport?

Here is the video of ‘kindergarten teacher’ Raymond Lemon Lim lecturing the ‘kids’ of MacPherson about transportation fares and subsidies.

So, it’s 1.5% more in GST for free transportation. This comes from the horse’s mouth and I didn’t make it up.

Let me do a simple calculation here, kindergarten style, ok?

  • If annual income is $50,000, disposable income = $40,000 after CPF.
  • 1.5% of $40,000 = $600. (That’s if you spend every cent you earn.)
  • $600 a year = $50 a month.

I top up my Ez-Link ItchyLink card at least twice a month, and each time it’s at least $30. Each trip is $1.64 and since I work at least 22 days a month that means $72.16 in transportation for the month. So by paying 1.5% more in GST I actually save $22.16 if I earn $50,000 p.a.

Frankly, going by Raymond Lim’s figures, I think anyone who earns less than 50K and takes public transport should take up his offer. Remember, the lesser you earn, the lesser in GST you can possibly pay. (Don’t flame me for this… this is the same method used by the government gahmen to justify the amount of GST goodies given to you was sufficient to cover the GST hike!)

After all, when you earn only $20,000 p.a., then the disposable income you have is $16,000. And if you spend all that $16,000 you earned, 1.5% on that is only $240 a year ($20 a month!!). In short, the more mode of transport you need to use, 1.5% of GST for free transport is exactly the ‘plan’ for you!!

But where’s the catch? The catch is, they will now increase GST annually! Every man can figure that out even by using the head of their one-eyed bandit to think. And that’s not mentioning that the service standards will be any better than the almost non-existent ones now. In short, it might even get worse since they are going to say: “It’s free, don’t complain!”

And you mean you don’t know the Tali-PAP’s modus operandi by now?


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Video: Drama at the Singapore Flyer

Frankly, I don’t know what to say about the Singapore Flyer Fiasco. It’s probably another first for Singapore, and two firsts at one go too. A first in having a large ferris wheel – the largest in the world – not to mention a supposed tourist attraction, having a major failure in less than one year. Then, another first in having people trapped in it for six solid hours before they get things moving again!

And since a picture says a thousand words, I’ll let this video express how I felt really about the entire incident.


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Daily Discourse – CPF Cuts Ruled Out

Wah seh… they haven’t make decision to cut CPF and someone actually said it’s not needed!

CPF cut not needed for now
Other tools available with Singapore’s flexible wage system
By Zakir Hussain

FORMER labour chief Lim Boon Heng has ruled out cuts to Central Provident Fund contribution rates for now, saying that a range of measures already in place can be used to trim wage and business costs here.

Chief among them is the flexible wage system, which allows firms to keep salaries in line with economic conditions and avoid layoffs by adjusting the variable components and bonuses.

He told some 800 unionists on Friday that the wage system had been made more flexible precisely to help firms and workers in dire times like the present.

‘We have learnt from past recessions that the use of the CPF cut is a blunt instrument,’ said Mr Lim, who is Minister in the Prime Minister’s Office, referring to how employers’ contribution rates had been slashed in previous severe downturns.

His remarks, released to the media yesterday, came after the National Wages Council (NWC) said last Tuesday that in the light of the worsening global economic crisis, it would reconvene next month to revise guidelines it set earlier this year.

That announcement prompted speculation among some economists that measures such as a cut in contribution rates to the CPF, the national social security savings plan, might not be far behind.

‘I have a view on this,’ Mr Lim said when he quashed speculation about a rate cut at the 27th anniversary dinner of the Singapore Industrial & Services Employees’ Union (Siseu), the second-largest union here with 55,000 members.

A flexible wage system had been developed over the years, he noted. For rank-and-file workers, 20 percent of their annual pay was in flexible bonuses and 10 percent was in the monthly variable component (MVC) that can be cut in difficult times.

For executives and managers, the flexible component is even higher, he noted.

‘Therefore, there is already a lot that can be done to trim wage costs. Apart from using the flexible wage system, companies can also use a shorter work-week,’ he argued.

‘We developed this flexibility so that we do not need to use the CPF cut. We should therefore see how the flexible wage system works in this downturn. A CPF cut is not justified at this point in time.’

The total CPF contribution rate for employees aged 35 and below is 34.5 percent, with employers putting in 14.5 percent.

Thereafter, contribution rates on both sides vary according to age and income.

The last time the employers’ contribution rate was cut was in October 2003 after the Sars crisis. It was reduced from 16 percent to 13 percent. This was then restored to 14.5 percent in July last year.

Mr Lim acknowledged that companies need to trim costs to survive the downturn, but said Singapore was fortunate to have built up a flexible wage system.

‘Bonuses can be cut. The MVC can also be cut if needed. Other measures include a shorter work-week with corresponding reductions in wages,’ he said.

‘This is our advantage. There is no other country I know that has such a range of options open to employers, with unions that are willing to support such measures.’

His view on CPF cuts was acknowledged by Siseu general secretary Lim Kuang Beng, and Singapore National Employers Federation executive director Koh Juan Kiat.

Siseu’s Mr Lim, addressing the point that a CPF cut was a blunt instrument, said that when employers’ contributions were cut previously, workers had to fork out extra cash to pay their mortgages, while others saw a shortfall in their retirement savings.

‘Cutting CPF does not make sense. In fact everything will go haywire especially in a recession,’ he said.

Mr Koh said that the variable components now constitute ‘a significant portion’ of total salaries: ‘We have built these up over the years precisely for times like these.’

According to the NWC, 84 percent of private sector workers are under some form of flexible wage system.

Citigroup economist Kit Wei Zheng said policymakers were more aware that while past CPF cuts may have saved jobs, they can hurt consumption even more because homeowners who rely on CPF for their home loans would have to use more cash and thus have less to spend.

Sounds good?

Still, I just find it really funny that now ‘cutting CPF does not make sense’ because during the last recession, it was cut by 10 percentage points without much of a thought! And guess what? I think less than 3/4 of that has been restored during the good years!

Also, please don’t be too happy yet, because I am going to throw some cold water here. First of all, none of that is set in stone so it might still be cut.

Next, when they say they don’t need to cut CPF contributions, it could also mean they have no clue at all just how bad this recession is. It furthers reinforce my lack of confidence in this generation of leaders lead-duhs’ handling of the crisis.

However, giving them the benefit of doubt, it is unlikely that our mini$ter$ in their ivory towers are still not convinced that the economy is already in the dumps. The real case maybe that further cuts might bring about another serious problem – an impact to the ability for the CPF to payout to the people who are now eligible to draw out their money.

I will not go into the details of that since I am only speculating. After all, one can only speculate how much of our CPF money is being used by the GSIC [Government Gahmen of Singapore Investment Corporation] and Temasek for their investments. It doesn’t take a genius to figure that the gahmen is now having two holes (i.e. old folks drawing out the CPF and capital loss by Temasek) with only one cover (CPF contributions) to cover them.

So, cutting CPF contribution would be equal to making the cover smaller at this point of time. Would they be so dumb to do that?

Above which, like Lim has pointed out, cutting CPF would also mean some people will now mean topping up with cash to service their loans, which will thus reduce the disposable income and in effect, consumer spending. While he is right to say that the economy will go haywire because of that, yet again he doesn’t elaborate on that.

However, if they are really concerned about not causing a further collapse in consumer spending to worsen the economy, it is a surprise that they refused to even consider reducing GST back to 5% or even less to ease off some of that burden consumers are bearing. After all, if they needed consumer spending to keep the economy from sinking further, that would go some way to boost consumer spending, wouldn’t it?

Or perhaps, GST is the other cover that the gahmen needed for some other holes (i.e. losses and deficits) we don’t even know about?


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Daily Discourse – Christmas

It was really never stated in the Scriptures the exact day of birth of Jesus Christ and thus Christmas Day does not have much significance to me. (Similarly, Good Friday itself also does not held any significance to me because the day of Jesus’ crucifixion should be remembered along with the Jewish Passover, as it was clearly stated in the Scriptures.)

However, someone did point out that it would still be within the month of December according to his understanding of the scriptures even though December 25th is not thought to be Jesus’ actual date of birth. The date itself may have been chosen to correspond with a Roman festival, or the winter solstice, which in ancient times was marked on December 25. [1].

A friend said this about Valentine’s Day, Mother’s Day and Father’s Day: If this is the only day you remember of your wife or girlfriend, mother and father respectively, then it is truly a sad day for them. Similarly, I would say this – It would truly be a sad day for Jesus if Christmas is the only day you remember Him.

So, when was the last time you spoke to God in prayer? And when you spoke to God, what was it about? You do not have to tell me, because this is a private conversation between you and God.

However, you must ask yourself, whether the only things you have spoken to God about lately is only your financial wants or your worries about employment. Well, while there is nothing wrong to ask of our loving Father of such, do you also speak to God about other matters? Or, in the conversation with Him, do you also stop and listen and allow His Holy Spirit to speak? Do you ever allow Him to tell you about yours sins or those things which are unacceptable to Him?

On reflection, one of my greatest failures is that I only to go on my knees and ‘petition’ God, to speak of my concerns, my worries, my desires. I have seldom nor rarely stop and wait for Him to speak, for Him to tell me about His opinion on what He wants me to do about some bitterness over some issues or people, or even His opinion about an early morning rant I have made.

I felt a little ashamed to have called Jesus a friend, not because I am ashamed of Him, but because I have always done the talking and almost never allowed or wait for Him to talk. I simply… talked too much and have stopped to reflect on whether I have really walked together with Jesus.

So even though Christmas day isn’t the only day we should remember our Lord and Savior, I took the opportunity to reflect once again the true meaning of His first coming. Let me share this song, which brother Isaiah has shared with me.


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Daily Discourse – Fuel Cost ≠ Fare Increment

This is even better than a cup of coffee. I get so pissed off after reading I can’t sleep even until 0130hrs in the morning.

Will try to contain costs
By Li Xueying, Political Correspondent

WITH 2009 shaping up to be a ‘difficult year’, the government will try to moderate public transport costs next year, promised Transport Minister Raymond Lim on Sunday.

The Public Transport Council (PTC) will continue to take economic conditions into account in its annual assessment of bus and train fares, due in the second half of next year, he added.

But Mr Lim also tempered hopes that current falling oil prices will translate into a similar drop in fares, saying that there is no direct correlation between the two. If there is, public transport fares would have shot up 40 percent between last year and earlier this year on the back of a spike in oil prices over the period, but did not, he said.

Mr Lim was speaking at a dialogue with some 300 MacPherson residents on Sunday. He was accompanied by Member of Parliament for MacPherson Matthias Yao.

In the morning, he toured the constituency, distributing food rations, chatting with residents and participating in a ceremony to lock in a time capsule containing items such as community photos.

This was followed by an hour-long dialogue where the minister fielded six questions. While a few residents touched on matters such as cycling paths and foreign workers, it was clear that concerns about the cost of living amid a recession were on the top of most minds.

Mr Gillian Teo, 54, a business development manager, started the ball rolling by expressing the hope that there will not be any public transport fare increase next year, as retrenchments mount.

In his response, Mr Lim said: ‘I can understand his concern. It’s going to be a difficult year next year, so we’ll try our best if possible to moderate the costs.

‘How do we do it?’

The PTC, which regulates public transport fares, will have to ‘sit down’ and weigh various factors: the impact on commuters, on transport operators and the economic conditions.

‘So it will factor all this in,’ he said.

The last round of fare adjustments was in September, when the PTC approved an overall net hike of 0.7 percent in bus and train fares.

But the minister also dispelled the hope expressed in a popular question that he said many have put to him: With oil prices now plummeting, why not fares too?

‘That’s a fair question,’ he said. ‘The answer is that public transport fares are not directly linked to oil prices.’

Instead, they are tied to what Mr Lim called national factors: the level of inflation and average wage increases.

Refuting the idea that fares are directly linked to oil prices, he pointed out that ‘from 2007 to this year… oil prices went up 40 percent, but fares went up just 0.7 percent’.

Another resident asked if commuters should be reimbursed the higher transport fares that they paid when oil prices were high, and if the transport companies were making ‘a lot of profits’.

Mr Lim urged his audience to look at the ‘big picture’. He said: ‘We don’t want the companies to be making excessive profits, but that’s different from saying that they cannot make profits at all.’

Like I have said before, the current leadership lea-duhship inspires no confidence in the people. This is yet another classical example of them being so detached from the people in their ivory towers that they either couldn’t feel what the common people is going through, or they wouldn’t give a fxxk at all because they think we are all idiots.

First of all, let’s put an end to this bullshit, Raymond Lemon Lim. Just how much profits should the transport operators make before even you would consider it excessive? Just like the freaking Town Council sinking sink hole funds, please put a cap on it. Or do we need to wait for some smart clerk to come around and siphon off all that money before you guys with your helicopter vision suddenly discovered a need to do something about it?

Frankly, the transport operators repeatedly justify their need to raise fares annually by citing higher operating – especially fuel – costs, and just what arcane formula is being used here to determine the annual increase before the PTC rubber stamps its approval?

It is a clear sign that Lemon is truly out of touch with the economy and farting through his mouth when he even mentioned these: the level of inflation and average wage increases. The fact is, a lot of that inflation is artificial! GST, ERP remember? Not to mention the likes of sugar prices, rice prices going up to drive up the costs of your regular meals, and even your cup of kopitiam coffee!

Anyway, the economy will be shrinking and consumer confidence will plummet as the magnitude of the current recession sinks in. While I don’t expect a deflation, that will still mean inflation returning to saner levels, not to mention negligible or zero wage increases or else companies will need to start retrenching staff. In fact, with our currency devaluing and factoring in inflation, we have technically a negative wage growth! So where is your justification not to reduce fares? It brings me back to ask again, what is the arcane formula used to justify the amount of fare raises since Lemon actually brought up that fuel costs are up 40% but fares are only up 0.7%? Don’t forget, we had record inflation over the past few quarters too!

Is Lemon Lim suggesting that wage increment was the only ‘saving grace’ that kept the fare increment to 0.7% then? Thanks for implicitly admitting that our wage increments suck (other than that of the mini$ter$). That goes to say… we have been bearing a greater burden with almost the same amount of money all the while!

On top of that, if my kneecap or shoulders can think, even they would have figured out that the following two components will be the biggest part of the transport operators’ operating costs – fuel and wages. However, we can see with our own eyes that even when fuel prices was at record levels, the transport operators were still making profits! How did that happen is anybody’s guess, but it suggests that the operators maintain a comfortable amount of ‘strategic fuel reserves’ to protect them for such price jitters. As for wages, didn’t they bring in drivers from China recently?

Lemon Lim is probably trying to act smart by not committing to anything. In fact, he might be just setting the stage to show that the Tali-PAP actually cared for common Singaporeans (they do?) when the PTC reduced fares next September just when the economic conditions will either get worse than it already is, or when it can’t be even worse. But to say that the ‘fare hike is not linked to oil price’ part is just plain lame and dumb. Either way, he showed that he is either not cut to take impromptu questions from the public at all, or he treats us all as idiots.

But if it’s the former, in the future he should always just bring the permanent secretary or whatever along and have that poor sod take the bullet instead.

And by the way, Lemon Lim can go ahead raise GST to 10% if all rides on bus and MRT is free. After all, that sounds like the underlying tone in his reply.


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