顯龍十八震… Earthquake 06.03.2007

I felt some tremors around 11:55am at Jurong West earlier and I thought I was just being too hungry that even my chair was shaking. After which I thought my fan was hitting my chair but when I checked it was stationary.

Then the messages come in fast and furious from my friends – and their friends – from several different locations: Collyer Quay (Colleagues in office), Circular Road (near Boat Quay), Robinson Road, Shenton Way DBS Building, Beach Road, Middle Road, Burlington Square, Marine Parade, Serangoon, Ang Mo Kio and even as far as Tai Seng near Paya Lebar.

It was a lot worse for those in Tai Seng and Beach Road (Gateway East or something like that), because they evacuated the building.

According to USGS, there was an earthquake in Southern Sumatra at around the same time. Let’s hope we won’t feel the rest of the tremors because a big one is usually followed by a serious of smaller ones.


Note: Follow up Tremors around 13:50 hrs.

Suggestions from the SCDF what you should do.

Whither the bear?

According to Channel News Asia: “Asian stock markets came under fresh selling pressure in early trade, tracking Wall Street lower amid continued anxiety about the health of global markets, dealers said.” and “Dealers said that Wen’s annual work report before the National People’s Congress, in which he set a national economic growth target for 2007 of about 8%, failed to provide fresh trading leads.”

Does that make any sense? Sounds a little far fetch to me that an uninspiring speech of an equally uninspiring politician can cause a large sell off. Doesn’t matter he’s an uninspiring politician of a large nation with a awe inspiring economy.

Above which, it’s not like the Dow hasn’t moved that way before.

But again, when they need to find an excuse to hide the fact that they are clueless why the markets are heading south, they always say something like that. Either way, it won’t be a surprise that this happened simply because the sharks are already done with their profit taking, and they are now just holding back. In other words, the current lack of demand is what that is driving the markets back to saner levels.

It was only the beginning previously, and this definitely is not the end yet.

And you don’t have to buy whatever is said here. If I think the analysts and traders are talking cock, then you can think the same of what I said. Kekekeke…

SSE COMPOSITE (Shanghai) 2785.31 -46.22 -1.63%
NIKKEI 225 INDEX 16642.25 -575.68 -3.34%
KOSPI (Korea) 1376.15 -38.32 -2.71%
HANG SENG INDEX 18664.88 -777.13 -4.00%
TAIWAN WEIGHTED 7344.56 -285.59 -3.74%
THAILAND SET 679.02 -1.58 -0.23%
PSEi (Philippines) 2997.88 -142.46 -4.54%
JSX INDEX (Indonesia) 1698.82 -61.20 -3.48%
KLSE COMPOSITE 1110.69 -53.99 -4.64%
STRAITS TIMES INDEX 2982.29 -96.45 -3.13%

Blood in the Stock Markets today…

There is blood in the regional stock markets today. Most suffered a big single day drop before it recovers some ground in the afternoon.

According to the papers, the worldwide tumble was sparked by China’s plan to clamp down on illegal stock market investments. Chinese stocks slumped the most in a decade the day before, while Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index dropped 3% and emerging markets sank. Russian shares slid from an all-time high; Brazil’s Bovespa Index lost 6.6% over the night.

From the list below, Singapore’s Straits Times Index [STI] is the second ‘worst performing market’ in the region, suffering at one time a 6% drop. In my opinion this was fueled by panic selling by ‘contra players’ who hoped they could pull a fast one but have no money to pay for their stocks.

The STI finally managed to get a grip on itself and rally to close at 3.72% down. Still, it was cold comfort that the other worse performing market is that of the Philippines.

It is a correct long in coming and much awaited, but I suspect this is just the beginning and it isn’t over yet.

SSE COMPOSITE (Shanghai) 2881.07 109.28 3.94%
NIKKEI 225 INDEX 17604.12 -515.80 -2.85%
KOSPI (Korea) 1417.34 -37.26 -2.56%
HANG SENG INDEX 19651.51 -496.36 -2.46%
TAIWAN WEIGHTED 7901.96 1.76 0.02%
THAILAND SET 677.13 -6.82 -1.00%
PSEi (Philippines) 3067.45 -263.84 -7.92%
JSX INDEX (Indonesia) 1740.97 -23.04 -1.31%
KLSE COMPOSITE 1196.45 -40.63 -3.28%
STRAITS TIMES INDEX 3111.94 -120.08 -3.72%

We won!!

[Aggregate Score] Singapore 3 : 2 Thailand

A late 81′ equaliser by K. Amri in the second leg brought us a win at the Supachalasai Stadium in Bangkok even in the face of intimidation from Thailand’s fans.

Yes!! Singapore won!!

We won in spite of all the world’s opinion against us, the opinion that we won’t make it in Thailand.

And the Thais cannot claim the referee’s penalty in Singapore handed us a win. After all Singapore was disallowed a goal in the eighth minute when Shahril Ishak was judged offside, which television replays clearly showed was an error.

So we are even, and it is final, it’s not a fluke, the Lions are Champions again in the ASEAN Football Championship!!

Stock Market – A Warning In The Emails…

This came through my email from my friend and broker.

Read it and judge for yourself if it is time to quit the market now.


As you are aware that the Singapore market, along with other markets in the world, have repeatedly hit new highs. Some old stories may has also been forgotten and I would like to bring your attention and urge you to be more careful when you trade.

  1. Many people in the street are now talking about shares, many has made good money and invited many more people to try to get something from the market.
  2. Most of the investors are too bullish about the market, including those who are bearish previously, probably because they saw the market never come down and thus also turned bullish.
  3. Many counters see major shareholders selling off their holdings, especially when the share price moved up to new high.

You may still remember this old fork telling you that the market maybe at the peak.

There are a few points that investors are always forget:

  1. When market (or a single counter) is moving up too fast without fundamental support, there is one more risk factor, that any broking house may come out and restrict the counter. They may restrict their house trader to buy the share, at the same time asking investor to pay money first before they buy, this will make the share price dropping in a very fast manner, because there will be very little buyers, and those who already bought the share will need to sell out, cause the share price to fall.
  2. Shares which move up without fundamentals will have to come down eventually.
  3. Counters that are ‘in boardroom dispute’ – like CEO or directors resign or quit. If they are major shareholders, they may want to sell off their shares since they are no longer sitting on the board, especially when the share price move up.
  4. Shares are moving up without fundamental support, construction sector may see some recovery with their order books improved, but how much should the price move? 100~200% will be a lot, 400~500%? does it worth this price?
  5. Markets move up with huge liquility, what will happen when the liquility dry put?
  6. Many are expecting some ang-pow money for the new year. Will you be receiving, or giving?

For your info, some broking houses already issued some warning to their dealers to control their clients limit.


My Portfolio now? – ZERO shares.

Call me a chicken but I’ll rather be safe than sorry. After all, only money in my pocket is real.

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