Tag: public transport

Random Discourse – Incomplete Information, Statistics Massaging and Word Play

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PropertyGuru raised a furore when it released the report “HDB flats are more unaffordable than private homes”. My first comment when I saw the news on Yahoo Singapore was: “Tell me something I don’t already know.”

One might wonder how that can be true. The truth of the matter is, when you compare a person who is able to purchase a condominium with a person who purchased a HDB, it is very unlikely that the person who purchase the condominium would be taking a 30 years loan and at the end of the day end up with almost nothing as savings. On top of which, the person who purchase a condominium can be single and under 35 – while a HDB flat is out of each of singles and singles can only purchase a resale market from 35-year old onwards. Otherwise, the couples who purchase a condominium will have a combined monthly income of at least $10,000 and above.

A 4-room BTO [Build To Order] flat would be entry level for most, since it comes with a hall and 3 bedrooms and more of them are being built. At about 90sq meters, it is comfortable enough for a family of 4 (2 parents and 2 kids). After all, a 5-room or larger is basically nothing more than a 4-room with a little more space. When a 4-room costs at least $300,000 (and that is only when you are extremely lucky and the unit is at some out of the way HDB Estate) and the median income according to the HDB for 4-room flat applicants is $4,200, that simply means the price to income ratio is 71.43. Even with a $10,000 grant, the price to income ration is 69.05.

Now consider a 3-bedroom condominium. The cheapest one listed on Property Guru (at Twin Waterfalls EC, Punggol Way) is $630,000. Now consider that the minimum income of any couple able to purchase a unit will have an income of at least $10,000, the price to income ration is 63.0. Granted, it may actually cost more than listed, but I am also taking a very conservative estimate here because the median income of a condominium buyer may be even higher which will take the ratio even lower. How the HDB wants us to believe that Property Guru’s analysis is based on incomplete information is beyond me!

Here is the chart on a subsequent news report whereby the HDB refuted the analysis of PropertyGuru and argued that the report was based on “incomplete information”.

Since we are on the topic of incomplete information, lazy me did a little analysis of the figures in the chart. Again taking the 4-room flat as basis, the HDB’s chart showed that the applying couple will have a median household income of $4,200. Assuming that this is nett income, that means the couple (35-year old and below) contributes $1512 a month collectively. 10% of that downpayment would be $30,700, deducting the $10,000 grant, the couple will have to save up $20,700 which will take them about 21.4 months to save since only $966.18 goes into their ‘Ordinary Account’ [OA] in their CPF and only 100% of OA can be used to pay for the 10% down payment.

So, after emptying all of their hard earned CPF of almost two years and left with nothing, the couple still has to pay $1,049 month in installments which means they even need to come up with a cash component of $82.82 a month for the next 30 years. If they want to shorten their loan period, they will have to pay a even larger cash component. Remember, the longer the loan period simply means you are paying more to service the interest before you even start to pay off the principal sum. Really, what affordable housing? It’s nothing more than economic slavery. The better part of your useful working life is wasted paying off for a pigeon hole. If you start work at 25, you are still in debt at 50. Now who is talking about “incomplete information”?!

It really annoys me that the HDB continues to resort to such in their lame attempt to distort reality. And that’s not forgetting that part about being able to own a flat with less than $1000 of income! That’s not forgetting that they did some statistic massaging when they used “average selling price” for the flats, while they used “median household income” of applicants. A friend was sure average income is higher than median income in Singapore, and another explain that medians in general gives more balanced figures compared to averages. In other words, their objective maybe to show that it remains affordable even in a ‘worst case scenario’. But it doesn’t change the fact that if it takes almost your entire lifetime to pay for it, it is clearly not affordable!!

Now on the matter of statistics massaging, here’s another example: “180 bus trips added, services improved”. This article was posted on Today Online on Saturday morning. In the article it wrote: “Public transport operators SBS Transit and SMRT have improved 22 bus services and added 180 bus trips weekly between January and March, even as wider service improvements under the Government’s S$1.1-billion Bus Services Enhancement Programme will be rolled out from the third quarter of this year.”

Whether there were 180 bus trips added per service, or 180 bus trips spread across 22 services, it really makes not much of a difference for us. The math is simple, if it was 180 trips per service then it’s about 1.4 extra trips every hour each day. If it was 180 trips over 22 services then it is just about 1 extra bus per service each day (probably during peak hours). It doesn’t need a rocket scientist to figure that out. If I am asked which one I would believe, I tend to believe it’s the latter since that cost less in terms of manpower and fuel consumptions and produce the same stunning statistic wizardry.

Anyway, this isn’t the first time they have done something like this. Previously, we used to be told how many train trips were added each week to ease congestion. Did anyone ever wonder why none of us were able to perceive or even feel the service improvements at all? Then again I understand that if they tell us that it’s just one trip a day we would wonder why is it even news worthy, not to mention no one will even believe there is any improvements at all!!

Here’s the best part, the article even tried to make it look greater than usual by adding this: “even as wider service improvements under the government’s S$1.1-billion Bus Services Enhancement Programme will be rolled out from the third quarter of this year.”

It is trying to have you believe that this is not the end of these so-called “improvements”. The better stuff is yet to come! However, remove that last bit and it won’t take long for anyone to discover just how uninspiring this piece of news is. Talking about which, the local main stream media [MSM] have always resorted to such word play to shift (if not manipulate) opinion. For e.g. “But only 68.1% polled agreed that it is necessary to reduce the inflow of foreign workers to spur productivity and create better jobs.”

Only 68.1%? Well, if you take away that word you will realise that more than half of the people polled wants less foreign workers in our country. But with the word ‘only’, the number now sounds a lot less significant. Read the following statements:

  – 200 soldiers committed rape after occupying the city.
  – Only 200 soldiers committed rape after occupying the city.

Notice the difference it made with just one word? In the first example, it tells us that there were 200 violations and everyone will feel some outrage. But the next statement will make the unsuspecting believe that just a small number of soldiers within an “assumed” large occupation force committed such atrocities.

The next time you see any statement with words like “even”, “only” etc, pause a little and re-read them and you will get a whole new perspective of the information you are getting.

Current Affairs – Budget Debate on Transport & Housing

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This has got to be the most talked about lately:

So I would like to assure Mr Gerald Giam, who might not have caught up with all the developments… that a family with $1,000 income can now, through our housing subsidies, purchase a small flat… – Deputy Prime Minister [DPM] Tharman Shanmugaratnam


Chart obtained from HDB website
AHG – Additional Housing Grant;
SHG – Special Housing Grant

This is not some new “Tharman-ism” or a slip of tongue. The chart on the right shows how it can be done.

If this is just solely an academic exercise to prove it can be done, it surely has achieved its objectives. Unfortunately, one question that comes to mind right away would be:How is a person who is just making $1000 going to be married in the first place?

Even if you would believe in fairy tales whereby an undergraduate would marry down, the fact would be that such a couple would then not be in the example here. That also means a person who is single is totally out of luck since singles don’t qualify for a flat until they are 35. Ironically, it is only at 35 where Workfare kicks in to compliment such a worker’s earnings and yet they are only qualified for resale, not new HDB flats.

Another blogger did a very detailed analysis, from the location and availability of these 2-room Build to Order [BTO] flats, to the possibility of raising children in such a small flat and then the financial situation of such a couple when they reach retirement age. I won’t quote or link him, since I do not agree with his liberal political views. However, I would like to point out that even if a couple managed to raise a child (like my parents did), they will only have just one child and that’s not going to do much for the Total Fertility Rate [TFR] of Singapore. My friend has asked me what value is there for a couple to own such a flat and what resale or rental value is there in getting one. We agreed there is none. This example is completely meaningless other than to show us that a couple with just a take home income of $1000 a month is still pretty much screwed whether they buy or rent a flat.

In short, this has achieve no other purpose other than making a fool out of Gerald Giam. A form of “mental masturbation”, if you will. Hopefully, it would help Mr Giam gain some invaluable experience in future parliamentary debates after this blunder and the previous one with the MX9 salary scale. A lot of those in the middle of the political divide maybe rather forgiving over the fact that the opposition generally does not have sufficient information but that does not excuse them from being more diligent, well prepared and getting their information right in the future.

~ * ~

DPM Tharman said the package (S$1.1 billion for Public Transport Operators [PTO]) is a subsidy for commuters, and not a subsidy for operators.

That raised a chuckle when I first heard it. The state of our public transport has gone so far down that few (if not nobody) believes that anything other than a radical change will work in improving it. Even when not all of that S$1.1 billion came from commuters using public transport, taking the money pooled from the people and then telling them that this is a subsidy for them sounds like a mockery of their collective intelligence. Neither will it convince commuters by telling them they would have to pay more in the future if the PTOs are to do this on their own. The fact is, when the fare system changed to distance based, some 33% of commuters suffered a fare increase according to the Public Transport Council [PTC]. I am one of the unfortunate 33% who did not benefit, and in my case that increment was 7% even when the statistics showed that fares went up by a mere 0.3% since 2006.

Next, some gripes about the bus service. Frankly, throwing money at a problem isn’t going to solve it unless someone listens to the feedback. While adding the number of buses may address the long standing complaint that the bus frequency sucks, it does nothing address the commuting experience which can be rather frustrating and also the routes of some services which completely blow our mind away. Just try taking some buses like service no. 2, 51, 154, 167, 174 196 and 197 from end to end when bored. While the route they take would help a commuter know Singapore’s road and estates a lot better, they are a unpalatable alternative to the MRT. Who would spend up to 2 hours on a bus while it takes 45 minutes on the MRT? (For reference: 2 hours can take a person about 1/3 of the way from Singapore to Genting in Malaysia, if I am not wrong.)

Even the current Express Services are an utter sham. Take for example Bus Service 502. It makes no sense for it to prowl Jurong East and West Avenue 1 again when those stops are already covered by the feeders! (In fact, it makes no sense at all that some of the inter-HDB estate services like 157 and 198 to go by those routes as well.) When commuters are charged by distance then it makes sense for them to take the feeders to the interchanges to catch an Express Bus (or an inter-estate one) since that doesn’t actually add to their cost. Meanwhile, commuters paid a premium for a so-call “Express Service” which can take an agonising 20 minutes before it hits the expressway in the morning. That’s not forgetting morning traffic! Is it a wonder why all of the pressures are put on the MRT system?

Anyway, S$280 million goes into buying 550 buses according to what I have read. That’s about S$510,000 a piece, while the remainder of the money is to cover the net operating cost for the next 10 years. These buses are so expensive that it makes me think they are armored and made of titanium. Perhaps it also includes a S$100,000 COE. It remained to be seen how this S$1.1 billion is going to help improve bus frequencies. If these 550 new buses are going to be like the current ones with almost half the seats removed (like those SBS Transit bought recently), it would be about as meaningless as increasing train frequency only to bring the entire system crashing down completely later. The reason being that the system is still being run with commuters as just mere numbers and not human beings. Clearly, frustration with the system will not improve if the commuting experience remains as bad. In short, someone should look into what the minimum comfort level expected in public transports as well. Unfortunately, I don’t think anyone would want to spend money on that unless I first figure out how to pay for it and what returns there will be. Even Nigerial Scams are better than what I am suggesting, right?

Anyway, some of us surmised that the SBS Transit buses were bought with the bad habits of Singapore commuters in mind. Since most commuters simply refused to move to the back, then it is only logical to have more standing space in the front to fit more commuters per bus – a typical Singaporean line of thought. My personal opinion is, put the seats back and bring back the buses with doors at both ends which have been completely phased out.

Thus, my point is simple. If the government wants to call this a “subsidy for commuters” because that “subsidy” will result in an overall improvement in the comfort and commuting experience of the bus service, I will be fine with it. But if the S$1.1 billion is nothing more than a cosmetic effort so that the government can argue it has done something, then I will be exceptionally upset. Meantime, please do something for our polytechnic students. I would say the government have no sense of proportion if it hassles over a mere S$28-million in revenue a year for the PTOs to give polytechnic students fare concessions. That is not even 1% of their annual combined revenue, because the PTOs annual combined revenue is almost 3-billion according to their annual reports. On top of which, they can always raise fares and when has that ever been denied?

~ * ~

Before I end, here’s something that’s not really related to the above. My simple understanding is that the word ‘even’ makes something better or worse than it already is. Here are some examples:

“Even cats are not as cute as your baby!” would indicate that the baby is so extraordinarily cute.

“Even a moron is not that stupid!” would indicate that whatever is being referred to is utterly stupid.

“He even stopped at the red light.” would indicate that this person normally doesn’t stop at the red light and that by doing so, something out of place has happened.

Need I say more about “even the Nigerian Scheme…”?

Random Discourse – Workers’ Party Manifesto on Public Transport

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I couldn’t find time to write lately, not because I am busy but rather due to my bad time management. Fortunately I didn’t manage my time so badly that I had to skip the “BBC Bloggers evening” (held at Pierside, One Fullerton) organised by Dunbar-Jones & Associates on April 19th. The primary objective of this event was of to introduce the Asia Business Index which BBC had put up. There were 9 others bloggers (such as Mr. Tan Kin Lian, Donaldson Tan from New Asia Republic and friend Darryl Kang) invited to meet with Jeremy Hillman and Francesca Unsworth of BBC in an exchange of insights and perspectives about Singapore and region.

The 9 other bloggers invited are definitely better known in blogosphere or social media where I am a nobody. I rarely get more than 500 hits a day and that only a good day after I get listed on Singapore Daily! Thus, I am actually surprised that I was even invited at all. I am greatly humbled after the free and cordial exchange of views with many of those present. Of course the bulk of the things discussed surround the upcoming General Elections since Parliament was dissolved that same day. A few of the bloggers present have given me many new perspectives of certain matters (such as certain opposition figures) and they made a big impact on some of my views. Some even gave me suggestions on how I can further improve my blog.

The views shared at the event inspired me to write this post even though I have yet to read up the manifesto or the election promises of various political parties. Fact is, I haven’t been actively catching up with the news lately – thousands of news articles in my RSS had remained unread. Even so, I noticed that the Workers’ Party [WP] is on the receiving end of bulk of the flak from the ruling party – in particular over the housing policy. In my opinion, the WP gave as good as it took, if not better. Combined with the shabby performance of cabinet ministers like Lim Swee Say on Mediacorp Channel 8, along with the fielding of new candidates like Tin Pei Ling and ex-Chief of Army Ah Beng Chan Chun Sing, much of the ruling party’s aura of invincibility has been diminished, if not shattered.

I will leave the matter of housing to a latter post since that is a more complicated issue, and also because I need to cool off as I personally considered the People’s Action Party [PAP] to have betrayed Singaporeans as far as the promise to provide affordable housing is concerned. I am sick of the lame excuses Mah Bow Tan is giving to justify a policy that enslaves the people and siphon off our money into a national reserves for the unaccountable investment purposes of the GIC and Temasek Holdings.

From what I have read, the WP has allegedly proposed to nationalise the public transport companies in their manifesto. Libertarians and free market supporters will definitely cry foul over the WP’s suggestion. However, I am not here to defend the merit (or the lack of) in WP’s proposal on public transport, though I certainly object to (if not reject) what Lim Hwee Hua said when she dismissed the idea. Let me paraphrase what the minister had said: “to nationalise public transport, it would be ‘a step backwards’ in the level of services commuters currently enjoy. Nationalisation of public transport in many other countries had led to inefficiency”

First of all, there is no direct competition between these so-called ‘private’ public transport companies. It is a known fact that any bus service that runs along MRT lines are removed and neither SBS Transit or SMRT has any bus services competing with each other directly along the same routes. We even read very often on the news that services are planned in such a way to ‘compliment’ one another. While all of these sounds good on paper, no one had considered that the impact of service disruption to the SMRT and the lack of alternative is in itself a form of inefficiency. For e.g. the recent East-West line breakdown for 2 hours about 2 week ago, and a possible attempted suicide last Friday near midnight at Sembawang MRT station has caused a major disruption to the lives of many people. Whenever something like this happened, commuters scrambled to catch taxis or find a bus service that would put them in the general direction of their destination – often at great loss of time and costs – because the transport planners considered it ‘inefficient’ to have ‘duplicating’ services.

The bus service itself isn’t any better. Anyone who has taken some of the bus services like SBS 2, SBS 32, SBS 51, TIBS 61, TIBS 67, SBS 154, SBS 174 or SBS 196 from end to end would wonder whether an inmate of the Institute of Mental Health [IMH] planned the roundabout route which can take one up to two hours to travel from end to end. If it puzzles anyone why I would be complaining about a 2-hour bus trip, that because that’s the same amount of time I took to travel from Hsinchu City to Taipei City when I was in Taiwan in 1993. My rough estimate is that Hsinchu to Taipei would be the equivalent from Singapore to Muar (or less). Now consider the fact that Singapore itself is probably not very much bigger than Greater Taipei. The only bright spot about these long bus rides is that at the end of the day, one might actually discover roads or streets in Singapore that he wouldn’t discover otherwise. Is Lim Hwee Hua telling us that this is actually *gasp* efficient?! I wouldn’t want to start ranting about taxis, since I have ranted enough about it before. (See: [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6])

Thus the truth is this: the local public transport companies have a de-facto monopoly and we certainly don’t have much choice nor say about it. With the MRT being the main mode of transport for the majority, the government wants us to believe that it is very well run and a superb world class transport system. Much has been reported about the international acclaim given to our public transport, but does it really matter when everyone you talked to feels otherwise? On the social media front, one only need to include the hashtag #smrtruinslives in Twitter to get a daily feel on how the very people who used it felt. I personal wondered whether a google search with the keywords “Singapore MRT sucks” might turn up even more horror stories.

Beside that, it is public knowledge that the largest shareholder of SMRT is Temasek Holdings (around 54 ~ 55%) while the Singapore Labour Foundation – a stat board under the Ministry of Manpower – is ComfortDelgro’s single largest shareholder (12.2% stake). That simply means, despite the facade of private-owned transport companies, it is actually some what state-owned. In short, we are thus provided a system that has the worst aspects of both nationalised and privatised public transport company. It is a state-owned monopoly where we can do shit about, combined with state-owned companies pretending to be private companies which primary objective is to create value for shareholders (i.e. be profitable). As such, the public transport companies can almost raise fares annually citing an increase in operating costs (rubber stamped by the so-called “Public Transport Council” [PTC]), without any tangible improvement in serivces they provide at all. It begs the question, would the WP’s offer be any worse or inefficient at all compared to what we are really having now? The WP’s proposal is certainly not something Lim Hwee Hua can dismiss with a few words or the wave of Harry Potter’s magic wand.

The fact that we have complained, ranted and whined over this so often in the past few years showed us that the PAP has failed in providing a solution. All the PAP is capable of, is raise fares – i.e. throw money out of our pockets – at the problem even when it has been ineffective. At most, such measures worked only for a few weeks before everything returns to ‘normalcy’. But before that, the main stream media would have overwhelmed us with glaring reports of the purported ‘effectiveness’ and ‘success’ of these harebrained measures.

I must say I have enough of this bullshit, and I am open to any ideas – even radical ones such as those of the WP – other than the ineffective PAP ones which not only failed to solved the problem, but had in fact worsen the situation by increasing the burden of our wallets.

Random Discourse – Public Transport Improvements

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Everybody look forward to the weekend, but the coming weekend is one the commuters who will travel to town along Bukit Batok MRT Station of the North South Line will not be looking forward to because there is yet another train disruption. Fortunately this time round it only affects that little stretch between Jurong East and Bukit Batok but not Clementi MRT or else people like me who stayed in Jurong West will suffer again.

I doubt those travelling from Bukit Batok to Jurong East this weekend will get a worse experience than those who stayed further west of Jurong East along the East West Line 2 week ago. While no one can probably say the resources committed on the ground between Clementi and Jurong East stations were insufficient, the route taken by the shuttle buses from Jurong East to Clementi (and vice versa) took up more time than necessary. I believe it took up at least 10 ~ 12 minutes of travelling time when it would have taken maybe just 2 ~ 4 minutes on the trains?

But that wasn’t all! If one is going from Joo Koon to town, one has to first get off at Lakeside and cross the platform to the other side to head to Jurong East. If there’s a train waiting when this happens, it wouldn’t be so bad. Unfortunately, the connecting train is nowhere to be seen and it will only appear like 5 minutes later. That is the same if one is travelling in the other direction. It gives people the impression that there is just one train serving between Joo Koon and Lakeside, and another serving between Lakeside and Jurong East. One has to ask why these two trains aren’t running on to-and-fro on each track between Jurong East and Joo Koon instead.

Either way, I choose to believe such an arrangement is made because trains cannot enter the east bound platform of Jurong East MRT station while the works are underway. Yet, I wondered why the shuttle bus service didn’t just run between Lakeside and Clementi MRT stations. In fact, why didn’t SMRT just run the shuttle buses all the way between Joo Koon and Clementi?

On deeper thought, the answer is self evident. SMRT under CEO Saw Phiak Hwa ‘Phiak Phiak’ has never been (in my opinion) a commuter-centric company. The company has always cared only about the bottom line and thus trains are run at ridiculous intervals like 4 ~ 5 mins even during peak hours which I defined as between 730 ~ 930aam and 5pm ~ 8pm (since I can’t find any indication anywhere in the stations to tell me what the peak hours are!) Don’t forget that this is the company that refused to put platform doors on the open air station in spite of the spate of suicides on the tracks causing great disruptions to our lives if we are unfortunately enough to be travelling when that happens.

Simply put, if SMRT is to run trains all the way between Clementi and Joo Koon, it would then have to put up more logistics to deal with the passenger flow along each of those stations on both sides of the road. That would be a no-no and thus it is simply ‘common sense’ commuters are put through an agonising triple transfer at Lakeside, Jurong East and Clementi – turning a 15 minute trip from Joo Koon to Clementi into a trip that can take up to 45mins.

There is no point to complain because in typical Tali-PAP fashion, the members of the Public Transport Council [PTC] (which serve no better function other than to rubber stamp fare raises or put into effect ludicrous fare structure modifications that allegedly cost less for 2/3 of commuters which few commuters can agree with), the LTA, the Mini$try of Transport and the Transport Mini$ter Raymond Lemon Lim would have asked those who complained whether they have any ‘better ideas’ to make this work.

As such, it was better for one to stay home (and save himself from the agony and some money) that weekend because the train disruption also put a strain on the other modes of transport in the whole of Jurong. If one is thinking about taxis he is also out of luck, since there was a ridiculous long queue at the Jurong Point taxi stand (at least the one facing Jurong Central Park). Hapless people who are in the HDB heartland areas like Jurong West Streets 4x, 5x, and 9x also had a hard time finding an empty cab to flag down. In fact, some even tried calling for a cab and not getting one after 1130am. Ironically, there was a short queue of 4 ~ 5 taxis at the Jurong Point taxi stand along Jurong West Central 3 – a bare 100 or so meters away from the other Jurong Point taxi stand where passengers waited frantically for a cab to show up around 1pm that day.

It really makes no difference taking the bus either, since there isn’t that many service heading out from Jurong West to Clementi. The wise cracks at the PTC had decided that it would hurt the bottom line of the transport operators if another mode of transport to duplicate the services of the MRT. In my opinion that they are clearing out of their fxxking minds because having a bus service from the rival company running along the MRT line not only provide an alternative for commuters, it also serves as a ‘punishment mechanism’ on its own if one operator screws up. SMRT wouldn’t even have to keep buses on standby for such an eventuality as commuters will all just take the alternate mode of transport (which benefits the rival company). Then again, if such a system is in place there wouldn’t be any reasons for the LTA to fine the transport operators when they screw up! What good is there to fine the operator when not a single cent goes into compensating the poor sods who suffered as a result of the screw up is beyond me.

Anyway, there are just 2 bus services (154 and 198) heading eastwards out from Boon Lay Interchange. Bus 154 stops next to Clementi MRT while 198 stops next to Buona Vista MRT. Sadly, both of them wouldn’t even have gotten a commuter out of Jurong (i.e. beyond Jurong Town Hall Road) within 30 minutes. Such is the wonders of our allegedly ‘World Class Crass’ Transport System.

There is yet another alternative, but one would have to catch Service 99, or just take Express Bus Service 502 all the way to town. All of these alternatives will put you at your destination anywhere eastwards beyond Clementi some way or another. But none of them would have offered you the same speedy mode of transport the MRT would have offered. Frankly, there is completely no use talking about it because it will be met with indifference or what I called contemptuous neglect from those who had the power to do something about it.

While I agree with the Prime Minister Baby Lee that I should have more patience while they upgrade the signalling system of the trains so that the trains can come more frequently, it is my considered opinion that this is clearly not enough to deal with the capacity issues the MRT is facing. It is high time the land transport planners take a hard look at the issue and seriously consider putting some real express buses into service and not the kind like 97e or 502 which still takes a roundabout route. Considering that taxis would have cost me $15 ~ $25 (depending whether it is peak or off peak) to get to town, I wouldn’t really mind paying $4 ~ $5 for a premium, no-standing express bus service from Boon Lay, Woodlands or Tampines interchange to town if that would put me at Raffles Place within 30 ~ 45minutes (not including waiting time). In fact, that might even take some demand off taxis and knock some sense into some recalcitrant taxi drivers who is taking advantage of the thrice damned, infernal surcharges or the call-booking system.

Such a bus service can in fact happen right away, since a bus company now have idle buses lying around with the termination of the shuttle service between the Integrated Resorts and the heartlands. At least the poor bus company which sunk $2.5 million into investing into those buses and hiring all those extra drivers can continue to make some money. Alas, I doubt any of these will happen at all, unless something drastic happens at the ballot box to knock some sense into these self-claimed ‘elites’ in their f**king ivory tower who can’t seem to admit that there are things they overlook. Again, that isn’t surprising at all because doing so would simply prove that they are rather mediocre individuals who aren’t justified to be paid what they have given themselves right now.

Commentary – Distance Based Fare System

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I personally really have no clue how the Public Transport Council [PTC] conclude that 2/3 of commuters will see their transport fare goes down while the remaining 1/3 will see an increase in their fares.

I noticed in Twitter and Facebook many comments that their fares have gone up but I didn’t really take pay close attention. It was after fellow blogger DK put up his blog post, I decided to use gothere.sg and calculate my fare. I thought I should just verify what he wrote for my own good if I wanted to pass on the information to another person.

The result was utterly shocking!! I am also among the 1/3 which will see my fare rise from $1.51 to $1.62. It’s a 11 cents (almost 7.3%) increment per trip (left). Based on a 22-day work month, that is about another $4.84 a month ($58.08 a year – which would be better if I gave it to a charity that allows me 250% tax reduction per dollar contributed). That makes the two of us among the 1/3 who are paying more per trip. Basically, if you can travel directly from point to point without making a transfer, you are out of luck!!

The devil is clearly in the details, and the PTC has done a very good job this round to sugar-coat the poison package this fare increment to stamp out commuter outrage. Meantime, trains are still coming at deplorable intervals after this hidden fare increment and they are usually still packed to the brim while bus bunching remain rampant – especially in the recently prevalent rainy conditions.

To make sure my anger is ‘justified’, I checked with a few other people and I realised that if you are able to travel from your home to your workplace without any need to transfer, your fare can go up even a staggering 17.4% (12 cents). This is the case for a school teacher who lives just a few stops away from where she stayed (see below). For her to reduce her fare increase to just 2 cents, she will have to take the feeder bus which takes her on a tour around the estate a roundabout route before reaching her destination. (She also pointed out that the calculation on gothere.sg may differ from that of publictransport.sg, so you might want to also check it out when doing your calculations.)

The only exception is when I checked with Nicole who needs to make two transfers and she saved 25cents a trip. The fare dropped from $2.10 to $1.85 (see below). While I was going to congratulate her for being among the so-called 2/3 of commuters who are saving on travelling, she pointed out to me that it is ridiculous that the transport fare system would punish her if she chooses to wake up early to walk to the MRT station. In fact, she also pointed out that the only time she gained is when she shuttles between home and work, but it will be even more expensive for her to travel directly without transfer from point to point.

It wasn’t long both of us came to the conclusion that this new fare system seems to suggest that you ‘waste time to save money’. I did a calculation based on a hypothetical journey where instead of walking from home to the MRT, I take a feeder to the MRT station for just ONE bus stop instead. And viola, I was surprised that that trip actually cost me $1.71 under the old system, but only $1.64 now. In the past when I walk to the MRT station, it would only cost me $1.51 and gives me a healthier lifestyle. Now it costs me $1.62 to do the same and if I wanted to fool myself that I have reduced my fare by a imaginary 7 cents (from $1.71 to $1.64), I have to forsake my walk to and from the station not to mention it would take me an estimated 5 minutes more in travelling time.

So, whatever happened to the advantage of staying near an MRT station or finding a workplace that is convenient? Is there even now a point of buying property near an MRT station? Whatever happened to a healthier lifestyle? Why are people penalised for walking to the MRT station?

I managed to bother yet another friend to do the fare calculation down over at gothere.sg and publictransport.sg, and it managed to reinforce my opinion that one should find a workplace that takes as many transfer as possible (see below). Do take specific note that the comparison here between the gothere.sg results and that of publictransport.sg is provided here as a rough comparison because gothere.sg suggested to her the supposed ‘shortest’ way to get to her destination while she took one that reduces the walking distance.

I suppose now I have a even better reason to jack up the price of my unit near the MRT station because it actually cost me more to travel using public transport, in spite of the convenience of it being nearby.

By the way, I was told that Saw “Phiak Phiak” (SMRT CEO) responded that “I never said that I didn’t recognise it’s crowded… I accept it’s crowded. The point is, in comparison with others, we’ve yet to push people into the train,” referring to Japan and some parts of China.

Is she even aware that most large cities in China have a larger population than Singapore, not to mention that Tokyo is the largest metropolis in the world if I am not wrong? If she isn’t aware of these facts, she probably deserves to get her ass “phiak phiak’ed”. Just which moron put this ignoramus as CEO of one of Singapore’s public transport company? I felt almost vindicated because I mentioned this in my previous post:

“The above statement gives me the impression that if you can legally do it, you would have us all pushed in every single train the way wool is stuffed into a pillow.”

Addendum
It is my considered opinion that while it maybe technically true that ‘2/3 of the people benefits’ from this new fare system, it creates the impression that 1/3 of the people is made to pay more to ‘subsidise’ 2/3 of the rest. Now I wouldn’t really care if car owners or the more affluent are made to ‘subsidise’ public transport users, but how 1/3 of people who use public transport – who I generally do not consider rich – are made to ‘subsidise’ the other 2/3 is beyond me.

Besides, I am still in the opinion that the entire system is ill-conceived and commuters who make regular short trips – for e.g. to take lunch at a hawker centre slightly further away from the workplace, to meet friends after work near the office, to the mall or supermarket at the city central to buy some stuff, or children taking public transport to school – he will end up paying more and some of that will go towards eroding whatever savings from the regular / daily transfers made from those trips requiring them. After all, if I understand it correctly, basic fares has gone up from 69cts to 71cts across the board for anything under 3km. That’s no mentioning that if you have elderly dependents or children, their concessionary fares also go up accordingly. It really doesn’t matter if one enjoyed going to godforsaken places where ‘birds do not lay eggs and dogs do not shit’ every now and then, and have several transfers showing $0 or $0.01 to give an orgasm. Just make sure one made enough money when young so they won’t feel sorry about the fare during the last few years of life.

Basically there is really not much we can do about it except to bitch about it, or just ‘suck it up’ as this blog post suggests.

Personally speaking, since the transport operators are on the PTC and I consider this action ‘a conflict of interest’ and ‘self rewarding’, I have no incentive to be civil-minded and to take any form of action should I see anyone vandalising and damaging their vehicles or equipment. Do I really care about the other commuter whose trip will be ruined if someone breaks the seat on the bus? Nah, he could be paying less because he needs to transfer while I end up with the short end to ‘subsidise’ him. What goes around simply… comes around. Not forgetting, it’s not like even if the buses are in tip top conditions they won’t be replaced for a long time. All of that replacement cost is always transferred to commuters so face it: It’s already factored in the next fare increment already.

Anyway, I have no long since ceased to believe members of the PTC (who are car owners, and definitely not use the public transports as often as most commuters do) will take note of the plight of most commuters and understand what is really required. It would be ironical when the day some form of distance based ERP system be adopted but it will be cold comfort to many commuters who has long suffered under this ridiculous fare system.

Recommended Read:
Gerald Giam: Opposition wards achieve more with less

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